Daily price analysis for BTC / ETH / SOL (published 09:00 Asia/Taipei). Free summary + optional paid deep dive.
Check: did today’s spot land inside yesterday’s 1‑day 80% model range?
| Asset | Yesterday 1d 80% range | Today spot | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $66,119.58 – $72,348.6 | $69,164.7 | ✅ within range |
| ETH | $1,953.13 – $2,186.72 | $2,024.34 | ✅ within range |
| SOL | $79.15 – $91.13 | $83.43 | ✅ within range |
Score: 3/3. This is a sanity check, not proof of predictability.
| Asset | Spot | MA7 | MA30 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $69,804.9 | $71,018.34 | $85,004.99 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| ETH | $2,097.07 | $2,099.73 | $2,778.64 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| SOL | $86.38 | $89.36 | $119.69 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $69,804.9 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 67.1% |
| 1d 80% range | $66,119.58 – $72,348.6 (median $69,164.01) |
| 7d 80% range | $58,092.62 – $73,717.39 (median $65,440.33) |
| 30d 80% range | $41,364.98 – $67,731.78 (median $52,931.31) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $2,097.07 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 84.2% |
| 1d 80% range | $1,953.13 – $2,186.72 (median $2,066.62) |
| 7d 80% range | $1,630.24 – $2,198.15 (median $1,893.01) |
| 30d 80% range | $992.46 – $1,842.62 (median $1,352.3) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $86.38 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 105.1% |
| 1d 80% range | $79.15 – $91.13 (median $84.93) |
| 7d 80% range | $63.69 – $92.47 (median $76.74) |
| 30d 80% range | $35.37 – $76.54 (median $52.03) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
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Contact: azande@hotmail.de