Daily price analysis for BTC / ETH / SOL (published 09:00 Asia/Taipei). Free summary + optional paid deep dive.
Check: did today’s spot land inside yesterday’s 1‑day 80% model range?
| Asset | Yesterday 1d 80% range | Today spot | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $66,726.33 – $72,952.66 | $69,804.9 | ✅ within range |
| ETH | $1,940.25 – $2,172.63 | $2,097.07 | ✅ within range |
| SOL | $79.78 – $91.85 | $86.38 | ✅ within range |
Score: 3/3. This is a sanity check, not proof of predictability.
| Asset | Spot | MA7 | MA30 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $70,457.9 | $72,113.87 | $85,686.62 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| ETH | $2,082.99 | $2,131.44 | $2,812.2 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| SOL | $87.06 | $91.77 | $121.36 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $70,457.9 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 66.5% |
| 1d 80% range | $66,726.33 – $72,952.66 (median $69,770.08) |
| 7d 80% range | $58,459.2 – $74,021.79 (median $65,781.87) |
| 30d 80% range | $41,115.95 – $67,022.3 (median $52,494.62) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $2,082.99 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 84.3% |
| 1d 80% range | $1,940.25 – $2,172.63 (median $2,053.15) |
| 7d 80% range | $1,621.21 – $2,186.84 (median $1,882.9) |
| 30d 80% range | $991.25 – $1,841.88 (median $1,351.2) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $87.06 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 105.1% |
| 1d 80% range | $79.78 – $91.85 (median $85.6) |
| 7d 80% range | $64.19 – $93.21 (median $77.35) |
| 30d 80% range | $35.66 – $77.16 (median $52.45) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
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Contact: azande@hotmail.de