Daily price analysis for BTC / ETH / SOL (published 09:00 Asia/Taipei). Free summary + optional paid deep dive.
Check: did today’s spot land inside yesterday’s 1‑day 80% model range?
| Asset | Yesterday 1d 80% range | Today spot | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $65,458.42 – $71,565.86 | $70,457.9 | ✅ within range |
| ETH | $1,939.2 – $2,169.79 | $2,082.99 | ✅ within range |
| SOL | $79.96 – $92.05 | $87.06 | ✅ within range |
Score: 3/3. This is a sanity check, not proof of predictability.
| Asset | Spot | MA7 | MA30 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $69,095.2 | $73,189.63 | $86,359.83 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| ETH | $2,082.54 | $2,169.07 | $2,845.36 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| SOL | $87.31 | $94.06 | $123.04 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $69,095.2 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 66.5% |
| 1d 80% range | $65,458.42 – $71,565.86 (median $68,444.05) |
| 7d 80% range | $57,466.41 – $72,763.14 (median $64,664.03) |
| 30d 80% range | $40,736.92 – $66,401.49 (median $52,009.54) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $2,082.54 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 83.7% |
| 1d 80% range | $1,939.2 – $2,169.79 (median $2,051.26) |
| 7d 80% range | $1,614.46 – $2,173.34 (median $1,873.17) |
| 30d 80% range | $972.19 – $1,798.94 (median $1,322.47) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $87.31 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 104.9% |
| 1d 80% range | $79.96 – $92.05 (median $85.79) |
| 7d 80% range | $64.12 – $93.05 (median $77.24) |
| 30d 80% range | $35.12 – $75.93 (median $51.64) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
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Contact: azande@hotmail.de