Daily price analysis for BTC / ETH / SOL (published 09:00 Asia/Taipei). Free summary + optional paid deep dive.
Check: did today’s spot land inside yesterday’s 1‑day 80% model range?
| Asset | Yesterday 1d 80% range | Today spot | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $66,441.1 – $71,816.65 | $69,095.2 | ✅ within range |
| ETH | $1,904.61 – $2,111.11 | $2,082.54 | ✅ within range |
| SOL | $79.66 – $90.04 | $87.31 | ✅ within range |
Score: 3/3. This is a sanity check, not proof of predictability.
| Asset | Spot | MA7 | MA30 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $69,915.1 | $74,895.79 | $87,074.13 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| ETH | $2,042.05 | $2,239.11 | $2,880.53 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| SOL | $86.51 | $97.45 | $124.69 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $69,915.1 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 58.0% |
| 1d 80% range | $66,441.1 – $71,816.65 (median $69,076.6) |
| 7d 80% range | $57,968.65 – $71,217.82 (median $64,252.63) |
| 30d 80% range | $39,340.29 – $60,242.62 (median $48,682.26) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $2,042.05 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 76.7% |
| 1d 80% range | $1,904.61 – $2,111.11 (median $2,005.21) |
| 7d 80% range | $1,568.83 – $2,059.93 (median $1,797.69) |
| 30d 80% range | $892.1 – $1,567.73 (median $1,182.61) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $86.51 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 91.4% |
| 1d 80% range | $79.66 – $90.04 (median $84.69) |
| 7d 80% range | $63.39 – $87.67 (median $74.55) |
| 30d 80% range | $32.69 – $63.97 (median $45.73) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Paid add-on includes: clearer levels, scenario notes, and what would invalidate the view. Message me to purchase.
Get paid reportNot financial advice. Educational content only.
Contact: azande@hotmail.de