Daily price analysis for BTC / ETH / SOL (published 09:00 Asia/Taipei). Free summary + optional paid deep dive.
Check: did today’s spot land inside yesterday’s 1‑day 80% model range?
| Asset | Yesterday 1d 80% range | Today spot | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $60,792.41 – $64,971.8 | $69,915.1 | ❌ outside |
| ETH | $1,755.53 – $1,927.85 | $2,042.05 | ❌ outside |
| SOL | $70.7 – $78.08 | $86.51 | ❌ outside |
Score: 0/3. This is a sanity check, not proof of predictability.
| Asset | Spot | MA7 | MA30 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $63,444.1 | $77,073.15 | $87,871.41 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| ETH | $1,868.6 | $2,345.21 | $2,921.08 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| SOL | $75.47 | $102.14 | $126.49 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $63,444.1 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 49.6% |
| 1d 80% range | $60,792.41 – $64,971.8 (median $62,847.37) |
| 7d 80% range | $54,383.08 – $64,842.73 (median $59,383.06) |
| 30d 80% range | $39,828.07 – $57,325.42 (median $47,782.43) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $1,868.6 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 69.8% |
| 1d 80% range | $1,755.53 – $1,927.85 (median $1,839.67) |
| 7d 80% range | $1,480.1 – $1,896.19 (median $1,675.27) |
| 30d 80% range | $905.47 – $1,512.2 (median $1,170.15) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $75.47 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 74.0% |
| 1d 80% range | $70.7 – $78.08 (median $74.3) |
| 7d 80% range | $59.3 – $77.12 (median $67.63) |
| 30d 80% range | $35.93 – $61.9 (median $47.16) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
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Contact: azande@hotmail.de