Daily price analysis for BTC / ETH / SOL (published 09:00 Asia/Taipei). Free summary + optional paid deep dive.
Check: did today’s spot land inside yesterday’s 1‑day 80% model range?
| Asset | Yesterday 1d 80% range | Today spot | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $69,998.64 – $74,417.35 | $63,444.1 | ❌ outside |
| ETH | $2,022.82 – $2,217.92 | $1,868.6 | ❌ outside |
| SOL | $86.19 – $94.85 | $75.47 | ❌ outside |
Score: 0/3. This is a sanity check, not proof of predictability.
| Asset | Spot | MA7 | MA30 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $72,719.8 | $79,679.45 | $88,714.73 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| ETH | $2,145.8 | $2,469.85 | $2,962.28 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| SOL | $91.55 | $107.07 | $128.26 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $72,719.8 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 45.6% |
| 1d 80% range | $69,998.64 – $74,417.35 (median $72,174.19) |
| 7d 80% range | $63,619.34 – $74,804.08 (median $68,985.4) |
| 30d 80% range | $49,059.65 – $68,601.58 (median $58,013.53) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $2,145.8 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 68.6% |
| 1d 80% range | $2,022.82 – $2,217.92 (median $2,118.13) |
| 7d 80% range | $1,734.71 – $2,213.23 (median $1,959.42) |
| 30d 80% range | $1,129.67 – $1,870.58 (median $1,453.66) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $91.55 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 71.4% |
| 1d 80% range | $86.19 – $94.85 (median $90.42) |
| 7d 80% range | $73.91 – $95.23 (median $83.9) |
| 30d 80% range | $48.44 – $81.85 (median $62.97) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
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Contact: azande@hotmail.de