Daily price analysis for BTC / ETH / SOL (published 09:00 Asia/Taipei). Free summary + optional paid deep dive.
Check: did today’s spot land inside yesterday’s 1‑day 80% model range?
| Asset | Yesterday 1d 80% range | Today spot | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $74,056.14 – $78,568.68 | $72,719.8 | ❌ outside |
| ETH | $2,160.31 – $2,369.43 | $2,145.8 | ❌ outside |
| SOL | $93.79 – $102.96 | $91.55 | ❌ outside |
Score: 0/3. This is a sanity check, not proof of predictability.
| Asset | Spot | MA7 | MA30 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $76,726.2 | $81,618.62 | $89,291.68 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| ETH | $2,287.52 | $2,576.38 | $2,992.71 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
| SOL | $99.22 | $111.25 | $129.55 | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $76,726.2 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 44.1% |
| 1d 80% range | $74,056.14 – $78,568.68 (median $76,279.05) |
| 7d 80% range | $68,107.08 – $79,644.79 (median $73,650.35) |
| 30d 80% range | $54,757.14 – $75,708.02 (median $64,385.98) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $2,287.52 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 68.9% |
| 1d 80% range | $2,160.31 – $2,369.43 (median $2,262.46) |
| 7d 80% range | $1,874.09 – $2,393.07 (median $2,117.74) |
| 30d 80% range | $1,276.24 – $2,116.98 (median $1,643.71) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
Model: GBM bands using last 30 days of ~daily log returns from hourly prices. This is a statistical scenario range, not a promise.
| Spot | $99.22 |
|---|---|
| Est. vol (annualized) | 69.5% |
| 1d 80% range | $93.79 – $102.96 (median $98.27) |
| 7d 80% range | $81.99 – $104.93 (median $92.76) |
| 30d 80% range | $57.58 – $95.97 (median $74.34) |
| Trend | down/sideways (MA7 ≤ MA30) |
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Contact: azande@hotmail.de